750
FXUS63 KAPX 241918
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
318 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Plentiful sunshine, warming temperatures through this weekend.

- Rain chances return early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Upper level trough moves east tonight
followed by increasing upper level ridging Thursday into the
remainder of the week.

Forecast Details: Stratus deck is currently mixing out into a
stratocu deck per satellite and surface observation data. With
the loss of daytime "heating" (it`s actually kinda cool out
there), the stratocu deck should dissipate later this afternoon
and evening leaving mostly clear skies overnight. North
northwest winds should become fairly light this evening leading
to decent radiational cooling conditions overnight. Lows in the
noticeably cooler mid 40s to mid 50s expected. Increasing
ridging at the surface and aloft Thursday. This is expected to
result in sunny to partly cloudy skies with only scattered cu
development during the late morning and early afternoon hours.
Warmer Thursday with highs in the mid and upper 70s with light
northwest winds.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 250 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Pattern Synopsis:

Troughing will continue to slide east of the Great Lakes over New
England as ridging begins to fold over the region this weekend.
Subsidence at the ridge/trough inflection point aloft will build
surface high pressure across the Great Lakes through Sunday before
working out of the region early next week.

Forecast Details:

Plentiful sunshine, warming temperatures -- High pressure in place
will keep mostly sunny/clear skies in place for several days from
the end of this week through much of the weekend. Temperatures look
to warm from the low 80s on Friday into the mid/upper 80s by Sunday.
Localized readings near/above 90 cannot be ruled out across typical
warm spots across northern Michigan (primarily TVC). Otherwise,
clear skies and calm winds will lead to large diurnal temperature
swings of 30 degrees or more heading into the weekend. Thursday
night lows look to dip into the low to mid 40s across interior areas
of northern Michigan. Rain and thunder chances look to return to
northern Michigan by Monday and continue through early next week as
troughing works into the Great Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 132 PM EDT Wed Jul 24 2024

Low pressure will continue to depart to the northeast through
this evening with high pressure building in later tonight into
thursday (into the weekend). Lingering lower clouds will
continue to decrease as we head through the afternoon and
evening. MVFR cigs will linger at times over the next few hours.
vfr cigs are then anticipated. North northwest winds will
diminish this evening and be lighter Thursday.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AJS
LONG TERM...DJC
AVIATION...AJS

NWS APX Office Area Forecast Discussion